Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.688697 0.766671 0.851248 0.950031 1.062519 1.186952 1.335464
2025-08-03 0.564271 0.670874 0.795796 0.953970 1.150275 1.387672 1.699185
2025-08-10 0.496153 0.616381 0.764810 0.963489 1.225430 1.563142 2.038308
2025-08-17 0.435136 0.559035 0.718258 0.940843 1.248713 1.666653 2.289374
2025-08-24 0.400696 0.530211 0.702666 0.953305 1.315385 1.830790 2.640969
2025-08-31 0.366740 0.497575 0.677135 0.946987 1.351868 1.952812 2.943822
2025-09-07 0.341631 0.474194 0.661232 0.951157 1.401803 2.097612 3.298903
2025-09-14 0.314930 0.445827 0.635005 0.936298 1.419464 2.192237 3.582864
2025-09-21 0.293108 0.422565 0.613882 0.926403 1.442561 2.296283 3.895200
2025-09-28 0.267324 0.391266 0.577869 0.889241 1.416463 2.313791 4.053226
2025-10-05 0.257650 0.383738 0.577697 0.909450 1.487826 2.506098 4.562912
2025-10-12 0.247784 0.375058 0.574797 0.924455 1.551091 2.690490 5.085142
2025-10-19 0.237482 0.365166 0.569503 0.935462 1.609477 2.875176 5.644169
2025-10-26 0.226701 0.353751 0.560833 0.939776 1.656065 3.043364 6.198771
2025-11-02 0.217792 0.344746 0.555403 0.949120 1.712694 3.237857 6.845624
2025-11-09 0.204278 0.327088 0.533821 0.926869 1.705251 3.299812 7.196424
2025-11-16 0.197500 0.320458 0.530921 0.939114 1.767555 3.516129 7.958202
2025-11-23 0.188393 0.309194 0.518961 0.932907 1.791208 3.651078 8.541836
2025-11-30 0.181507 0.301386 0.512641 0.937004 1.836617 3.840158 9.303666
2025-12-07 0.172492 0.289244 0.497566 0.922403 1.840214 3.932992 9.822647
2025-12-14 0.164784 0.279025 0.485405 0.912680 1.853451 4.050247 10.434639
2025-12-21 0.154126 0.262863 0.461107 0.876160 1.803053 4.006424 10.567491
2025-12-28 0.151252 0.260907 0.463741 0.896020 1.883448 4.298968 11.780719